Analyst: Natal will cost around $50, will outsell Arc by up to 10-to-1

Microsoft’s Project Natal will outsell Sony’s Motion Controller by a large margin as the two are released later this year, Wedbush analyst Michael Pachter reckons, saying he sees Sony’s device as having “some problems gaining traction”.

“I think that the Sony motion controller will have some problems gaining traction, since it is not an ‘in the box’ solution,” Pachter explained in a recent interview. “That will probably limit adoption to one or two million at the outset. Natal is different. It’s only one piece, is likely to be cheaper [Pachter predicts Microsoft will price the add-on at around $50] and I think it will come in the Xbox 360 package with new consoles once launched, meaning far deeper penetration.”

“Sony’s internal development is top notch, so I expect the launch titles to be fun, and likely on par with Wii Sports for quality, but ultimately, I think that the motion controller will only sell to 20 per cent or less of the PS3 audience, limiting it’s appeal to third party publishers.

“A year or so after launch, there will be 10 million [Project Natal units] out there, which will probably attract more third party support. Also, I think Microsoft will subsidize third party development to make it a success.”

Sony is expected to launch their device in the fall, with Microsoft’s following during the holidays.

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